WEF Jobs of Tomorrow Generative AI 2023 · Page 6
WEF_Jobs_of_Tomorrow_Generative_AI_2023.pdf
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By integrating LLMs with other systems, these capabilities can be extended to a greater range of abstract tasks, such as scheduling meetings, placing orders, responding to emails, or providing research on a particular topic. Given the large overlap between LLM capabilities and current job tasks, how will introducing LLMs into the workplace change jobs? Which parts of a job will be impacted the most, and which jobs will be impacted most? Finally, with the introduction of these new technologies, which new jobs can be expected to arise? A task-based approach to job exposure To answer these questions, the methods deployed in this white paper assess the potential exposure of language-based job tasks to the ability of LLMs to perform these tasks. The approach is to first think of a job as consisting of many different tasks and then assess how each task may be affected by LLMs. The magnitude of impact on a job ultimately depends on the degree of language-based skills required for specific tasks in that job and the time spent on those tasks. Language-dependent, standardized, routine and process-oriented tasks are prime candidates for automation and replacement by LLMs. At the same time, those requiring a greater degree of human interaction are more likely to be augmented and performed in collaboration with LLMs. For example, some job tasks are routine and predictable and are performed by people working individually, such as clerks and administrators, which involves reading and entering data, cross- referencing records between different databases and reviewing transactions. These tasks are more likely to be exposed to and ultimately automated by the introduction of LLMs, implying that they will no longer be performed by humans. The outcome is that jobs emphasizing these tasks will either transform to take on non-automatable tasks or go into decline. Other job tasks require a great deal of abstract reasoning, creativity and problem-solving. While language tasks may not be their primary product, they may rely heavily on language and communication. For example, Mathematicians and Editors rely heavily upon language, yet need to incorporate creative insights from their fields of expertise. Similarly, Software Developers work a lot with computer languages but also need to grasp complex systems at various levels of abstraction to create a finished software product. Workers in these jobs would not have their tasks replaced by LLMs; rather, LLMs would supercharge their ability to complete these tasks. Teachers, for example, could rely on LLMs for assistance in lesson planning and correcting student work. According to one study in the US, three in ten teachers have already used ChatGPT for lesson planning (30%), generating creative ideas for classes (30%) and building background knowledge for lessons and classes (27%).10 Software Developers could turn to LLMs to generate standardized blocks of code with clear functional parameters, speeding up the development process and allowing for more time to be spent on high-level architectural tasks. Software Developers also perform many tasks with high potential for automation, suggesting that many jobs will be transformed rather than automated or augmented. The research methods employed in this paper aim to identify which tasks will be exposed to LLMs and how they will be impacted: whether they have the potential to be automated and replaced b
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