WEF Jobs of Tomorrow Generative AI 2023 · Page 18
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Job exposure potential vs growth potential F I G U R E 7 100 75 50 25 100 75 50 25 Exposure % (matched with Future of Jobs and re-calculated) Net growth % Stable Growing Highest augmentation Lower potential Highest automation Declining 100 75 50 25 -40 -30 -20 -10 -3 -2 -1 0 1 10 20 30 40 Business and financial operations Education and training Healthcare practitioners and technicians Management Sales Arts, design, entertainment, sports and media Future of Jobs job families Computer and mathematical Insurance Underwriters Farming, fishing and forestry Legal Office and administrative Web Developers Sales and Purchasing Agents and Brokers Authors and Journalists Data Warehousing Specialists Management and Organization Analysts Training and Development Specialists Mathematicians, Actuaries and Statisticians Graphic Designers Database and Network Professionals Database Analysts and Scientists AI and Machine Learning Specialists Representatives, Wholesale and Manufacturing, Technical and Scientific Products Secondary Education Teachers Paralegals and Legal Assistants Bank Tellers and Related Clerks Telemarketers Securities and Finance Dealers and Brokers Accounting, Bookeeping and Payroll Clerks Legal Secretaries Statistical, Finance and Insurance Clerks Administrative and Executive Secretaries Material-recording and Stock-keeping Clerks Data Entry Clerks Human Resources Specialists Lawyers Manufacturing, Mining, Construction and Distribution Managers Farmworkers and Labourers University and Higher Education Teachers Vocational Education Teachers Personal Care Workers in Health Services Regulatory and Government Associate Professionals The jobs with the highest potential for automation are featured in the lower box of Figure 7 (mapped from the list in Figure 2) and overlap significantly with those that are expected to decline over the next five years, as indicated by survey results from business leaders in the Future of Jobs Report 2023.17 The three with the greatest expected declines are Bank Tellers and Related Clerks (87% of time spent on tasks with high potential for automation, 41% expected decline), Data Entry Clerks (58% potential automation, 36% expected decline), and Administrative and Executive Secretaries (69% potential automation, 34% expected decline). All jobs with high potential for automation have negative expected growth, with the exception of Securities and Finance Dealers and Brokers. The jobs with high potential for augmentation are featured in the upper box (mapped from the list in Figure 3) and mostly align with jobs with strong expected growth over the next five years, as indicated in the Future of Jobs Report 2023.18 Jobs largely in the families of technologists, engineers and analysts have potential for augmentation and growth. AI and machine learning specialists have the highest expected growth (75% of time spent on tasks with high potential for augmentation, and 39% expected growth), followed by Data Analysts and Scientists (84% potential augmentation, and 31% expected growth) and Database and Network Professionals (83% potential augmentation, and 14% expected growth). However, jobs with high potential for augmentation feature significant variation in expected growth, and several jobs in this category have low growth expectations, such as Data Entry Clerks and Web Developers. Nevertheless, the general congruence between augmentation potential and expected growt
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